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5 November 2025

High Stakes, Hard Truths: COP30 Expectations Amid Geopolitical Fragmentation (Podcast)

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A&O Shearman

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A&O Shearman was formed in 2024 via the merger of two historic firms, Allen & Overy and Shearman & Sterling. With nearly 4,000 lawyers globally, we are equally fluent in English law, U.S. law and the laws of the world’s most dynamic markets. This combination creates a new kind of law firm, one built to achieve unparalleled outcomes for our clients on their most complex, multijurisdictional matters – everywhere in the world. A firm that advises at the forefront of the forces changing the current of global business and that is unrivalled in its global strength. Our clients benefit from the collective experience of teams who work with many of the world’s most influential companies and institutions, and have a history of precedent-setting innovations. Together our lawyers advise more than a third of NYSE-listed businesses, a fifth of the NASDAQ and a notable proportion of the London Stock Exchange, the Euronext, Euronext Paris and the Tokyo and Hong Kong Stock Exchanges.
Billing COP30 as the "Implementation COP" raises hopes that it will drive concrete progress toward the Paris Agreement's goals. Yet, amid rapid geopolitical shifts, what outcomes can we realistically expect?
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Billing COP30 as the "Implementation COP" raises hopes that it will drive concrete progress toward the Paris Agreement's goals. Yet, amid rapid geopolitical shifts, what outcomes can we realistically expect?

In this podcast, our speakers explore, among other critical questions:

  • What influence will the United States exert on COP30 outcomes and broader climate action?
  • Can China, the UK and the EU sustain credible global climate leadership amid the complexities of trade tensions, security-driven onshoring, domestic dynamics, and regulatory recalibration?
  • A decade on from the Paris Agreement, is this talk of implementation all too late?
  • Should we anticipate anything more than incremental movement, particularly in light of the 2025 Nationally Determined Contributions Synthesis Report?
  • Will COP30 reinforce multilateralism—or hasten its demise?

This episode launches our COP30-focused podcast series. It was recorded on October 29-30 ahead of COP30, which will be held from November 10 to 21.

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